PnL (30d)

−$448

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$116

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

9,501W / 12,523L · 4,362 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

12,198W / 14,176L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

26,386

across 98 markets · ~269 per market

EV / position

−$7.85

avg win $102 · loss $72

Profit Factor

0.83

$2,145 won / $2,593 lost

Reward / Risk

1.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,310

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.1% 9,501W/12,523L	98	$50,940
🏛 Politics	27.3% 3,327W/8,841L	52	$29,711
🎬 Culture	27.3% 3,327W/8,841L	52	$29,711

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	440	0.967	$425.16	$99.00	+30.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	492	0.415	$204.26	$44.22	+27.6%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	190	1.000	$189.54	$2.68	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	172	0.993	$170.34	$0.51	+0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	634	0.245	$155.38	$8.69	+5.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	156	0.969	$150.80	$12.86	+9.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	164	0.845	$138.46	$-0.66	-0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	114	0.890	$101.06	$2.05	+2.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	104	0.815	$85.05	$-2.81	-3.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	90	0.925	$82.90	$-0.92	-1.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	79	0.982	$77.65	$0.32	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	94	0.815	$76.95	$-4.59	-5.6%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	67	0.998	$66.37	$3.07	+4.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	71	0.925	$65.75	$1.45	+2.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	31	0.979	$29.87	$-0.27	-0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	28	0.974	$26.94	$0.37	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	92	0.186	$17.23	$2.32	+15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	30	0.545	$16.46	$-1.28	-7.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	21	0.730	$15.44	$0.55	+3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	13	0.993	$13.22	$0.17	+1.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	439	0.026	$11.64	$-1.49	-11.3%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	9	0.998	$8.93	$0.03	+0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	133	0.025	$3.26	$-2.22	-40.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	3	0.981	$2.86	$0.04	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	3	0.835	$2.12	$-0.04	-1.8%