| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.245 |
$14.13 |
$-0.03 |
-0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.845 |
$7.92 |
$1.07 |
+15.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.945 |
$6.71 |
$0.96 |
+16.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.91 |
$-1.09 |
-18.1% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
4 |
0.984 |
$4.32 |
$0.29 |
+7.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.845 |
$4.02 |
$3.02 |
+302.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
45 |
0.080 |
$3.62 |
$-4.30 |
-54.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.685 |
$3.30 |
$0.30 |
+9.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.205 |
$3.12 |
$-2.88 |
-48.0% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+55.8% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.97 |
$0.97 |
+48.4% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
3 |
0.918 |
$2.85 |
$-0.15 |
-4.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.353 |
$2.70 |
$-0.30 |
-9.9% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
4 |
0.740 |
$2.65 |
$-0.35 |
-11.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
2 |
0.997 |
$2.34 |
$0.34 |
+16.9% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.220 |
$2.19 |
$-0.81 |
-27.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.966 |
$2.19 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+8.0% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.8% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
3 |
0.607 |
$1.87 |
$-0.57 |
-23.2% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
23 |
0.082 |
$1.86 |
$-1.14 |
-38.1% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.800 |
$1.84 |
$-0.16 |
-8.0% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.165 |
$1.83 |
$0.83 |
+83.3% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.716 |
$1.65 |
$-0.35 |
-17.5% |