| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.250 |
$14.42 |
$0.26 |
+1.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.835 |
$7.83 |
$0.97 |
+14.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.945 |
$6.71 |
$0.96 |
+16.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
36 |
0.125 |
$4.55 |
$-1.45 |
-24.2% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
4 |
0.980 |
$4.30 |
$0.27 |
+6.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.785 |
$3.74 |
$2.74 |
+273.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.680 |
$3.27 |
$0.27 |
+9.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.19 |
$-2.81 |
-46.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
45 |
0.070 |
$3.17 |
$-4.75 |
-60.0% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+55.8% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.97 |
$0.97 |
+48.4% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
3 |
0.918 |
$2.85 |
$-0.15 |
-4.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.356 |
$2.73 |
$-0.27 |
-9.1% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
4 |
0.725 |
$2.59 |
$-0.41 |
-13.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.35 |
$0.35 |
+17.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.966 |
$2.19 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
2 |
0.999 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+7.9% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.215 |
$2.14 |
$-0.86 |
-28.6% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.8% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
3 |
0.603 |
$1.86 |
$-0.58 |
-23.7% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
23 |
0.082 |
$1.86 |
$-1.14 |
-38.1% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.805 |
$1.85 |
$-0.15 |
-7.4% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.716 |
$1.65 |
$-0.35 |
-17.5% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.430 |
$1.56 |
$-0.44 |
-22.1% |