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Trader

0xe6e53d1135e87edd8d404ed52b3e937983cb8e81
PnL (30d)
−$243
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
123W / 201L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
143W / 243L · 14 open
Trades (30d)
400
across 127 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.24
avg win $2 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.17
$51 won / $294 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$136
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,199 · all-time $28,471

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.0% 123W/201L 127 $1,077
🏛 Politics 35.8% 19W/34L 18 $229
🎬 Culture 86.4% 19W/3L 7 $63
💵 Economy 5.6% 1W/17L 4 $27
🌤 Weather 1 $1
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 58 0.250 $14.42 $0.26 +1.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 9 0.845 $7.92 $1.07 +15.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 7 0.945 $6.71 $0.96 +16.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 36 0.125 $4.55 $-1.45 -24.2%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 4 0.980 $4.30 $0.27 +6.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5 0.775 $3.69 $2.69 +269.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 45 0.080 $3.62 $-4.30 -54.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 5 0.680 $3.27 $0.27 +9.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 15 0.210 $3.19 $-2.81 -46.8%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 5 0.606 $3.12 $1.12 +55.8%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 3 0.930 $3.06 $1.06 +53.2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.905 $2.97 $0.97 +48.4%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 3 0.918 $2.85 $-0.15 -4.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 8 0.357 $2.73 $-0.27 -9.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 4 0.715 $2.56 $-0.44 -14.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 2 1.000 $2.35 $0.35 +17.3%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes 10 0.220 $2.19 $-0.81 -27.0%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 2 0.966 $2.19 $-0.01 -0.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 2 0.998 $2.16 $0.16 +7.8%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 2 0.998 $2.02 $0.02 +0.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 3 0.604 $1.86 $-0.58 -23.6%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 23 0.082 $1.86 $-1.14 -38.1%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 2 0.800 $1.84 $-0.16 -7.9%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 2 0.715 $1.65 $-0.35 -17.6%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 4 0.430 $1.56 $-0.44 -22.1%