PnL (30d)

−$2,998

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

737W / 1,126L · 94 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

799W / 1,158L

Trades (30d)

1,957

across 76 markets · ~26 per market

EV / position

−$47.58

avg win $33 · loss $284

Profit Factor

0.34

$1,539 won / $4,536 lost

Reward / Risk

0.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$222

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.5% 1,754W/2,099L	175	$77,818
🏛 Politics	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,865
🎬 Culture	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,865

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,745	0.445	$2,111.31	$1,908.83	+942.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,675	0.255	$1,192.12	$998.58	+515.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.185	$994.34	$787.62	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.185	$994.34	$787.62	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,686	0.185	$866.88	$655.21	+309.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.155	$833.09	$626.37	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.135	$725.60	$518.88	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.115	$618.10	$411.38	+199.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,585	0.085	$389.71	$205.29	+111.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.070	$376.24	$169.52	+82.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.066	$352.05	$145.33	+70.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.038	$206.93	$0.21	+0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.021	$107.89	$-94.52	-46.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,565	0.021	$95.85	$-81.22	-45.9%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,295	0.016	$84.72	$-118.93	-58.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,567	0.011	$47.96	$-131.15	-73.2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.007	$36.84	$-165.57	-81.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,522	0.006	$29.39	$-144.52	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,475	0.006	$26.85	$-145.26	-84.4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,100	0.004	$17.85	$-178.31	-90.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,819	0.003	$12.05	$-173.28	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,509	0.003	$11.27	$-162.16	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,475	0.002	$6.71	$-165.39	-96.1%