PnL (30d)

−$2,998

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$43

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

737W / 1,126L · 74 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

791W / 1,146L

Trades (30d)

1,937

across 76 markets · ~25 per market

EV / position

−$47.58

avg win $33 · loss $284

Profit Factor

0.34

$1,539 won / $4,536 lost

Reward / Risk

0.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$222

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.5% 1,754W/2,099L	175	$77,758
🏛 Politics	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,804
🎬 Culture	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,804

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,708	0.425	$2,000.97	$1,815.08	+976.4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,695	0.245	$1,150.28	$955.91	+491.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.185	$994.34	$787.62	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.165	$886.84	$680.12	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.155	$833.09	$626.37	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,641	0.178	$828.43	$629.88	+317.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.125	$671.85	$465.13	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.105	$564.35	$357.63	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.079	$424.61	$217.89	+105.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.065	$349.36	$142.64	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,625	0.075	$346.86	$160.83	+86.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.045	$241.87	$35.15	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.028	$147.36	$-55.05	-27.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,527	0.024	$106.38	$-71.88	-40.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,295	0.019	$100.60	$-103.04	-50.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,565	0.018	$79.88	$-97.19	-54.9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.006	$34.21	$-168.20	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,475	0.007	$33.56	$-138.54	-80.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,522	0.006	$29.39	$-144.52	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,100	0.004	$17.85	$-178.31	-90.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,819	0.003	$12.05	$-173.28	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,509	0.003	$11.27	$-162.16	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,503	0.002	$6.75	$-166.42	-96.1%