PnL (30d)

−$3,375

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$62

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

46%

1,754W / 2,099L · 90 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

1,823W / 2,120L

Trades (30d)

3,943

across 175 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

−$22.06

avg win $28 · loss $180

Profit Factor

0.49

$3,301 won / $6,676 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$438

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.5% 1,754W/2,099L	175	$77,758
🏛 Politics	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,804
🎬 Culture	35.8% 126W/226L	29	$6,804

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,708	0.415	$1,953.89	$1,768.00	+951.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,718	0.245	$1,155.97	$960.63	+491.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.185	$994.34	$787.62	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.165	$886.84	$680.12	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.155	$833.09	$626.37	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,641	0.179	$833.07	$634.53	+319.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.125	$671.85	$465.13	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.105	$564.35	$357.63	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.081	$432.67	$225.95	+109.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.065	$349.36	$142.64	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,625	0.075	$346.86	$160.83	+86.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.045	$241.87	$35.15	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.028	$144.73	$-57.69	-28.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,295	0.019	$100.60	$-103.04	-50.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,527	0.021	$95.07	$-83.20	-46.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,565	0.018	$84.44	$-92.63	-52.3%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,263	0.006	$34.21	$-168.20	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,475	0.007	$33.56	$-138.54	-80.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,522	0.006	$29.39	$-144.52	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,100	0.004	$17.85	$-178.31	-90.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,819	0.003	$12.05	$-173.28	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,509	0.003	$11.27	$-162.16	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,375	0.002	$8.06	$-198.66	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	3,800	0.002	$7.60	$-138.54	-94.8%