PnL (30d)

−$126

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

347W / 312L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

347W / 312L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

674

across 142 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.92

avg win $27 · loss $33

Profit Factor

0.94

$1,945 won / $2,070 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$183

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.3% 774W/707L	366	$53,485
⚽ Sports	46.4% 96W/111L	22	$9,066
🏛 Politics	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351
🎬 Culture	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.745	$205.62	$-10.80	-5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	1.000	$164.44	$43.38	+35.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.555	$153.18	$-55.95	-26.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	166	0.730	$121.17	$-0.02	-0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	166	0.525	$87.15	$-4.09	-4.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	386	0.085	$32.81	$-11.54	-26.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	137	0.175	$23.97	$-0.69	-2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	137	0.065	$8.90	$-2.06	-18.8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	386	0.021	$8.11	$-8.81	-52.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	381	0.011	$4.00	$-12.18	-75.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	137	0.021	$2.81	$0.09	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-5.19	-97.6%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-21.78	-99.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	0.001	$0.08	$-94.75	-99.9%