PnL (30d)

+$52

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$166

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

45W / 39L · 52 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

53W / 78L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

136

across 45 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$1.52

avg win $13 · loss $19

Profit Factor

1.22

$285 won / $234 lost

Reward / Risk

0.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$111

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.3% 774W/707L	366	$53,485
⚽ Sports	46.4% 96W/111L	22	$9,066
🏛 Politics	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351
🎬 Culture	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.745	$205.62	$-10.80	-5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	0.972	$159.84	$38.77	+32.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.575	$158.70	$-50.43	-24.1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	82	0.730	$59.86	$0.82	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	82	0.540	$44.28	$-3.28	-6.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.075	$8.62	$-8.62	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	0.029	$4.86	$-89.97	-94.9%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.021	$2.42	$-6.33	-72.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.018	$2.01	$-9.49	-82.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.002	$0.38	$-21.53	-98.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-5.19	-97.6%