PnL (30d)

+$53

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$190

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

44W / 32L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

45W / 71L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

121

across 42 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$1.60

avg win $14 · loss $19

Profit Factor

1.23

$285 won / $232 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$111

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.3% 774W/707L	366	$53,485
⚽ Sports	46.4% 96W/111L	22	$9,066
🏛 Politics	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351
🎬 Culture	41.5% 17W/24L	18	$1,351

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.675	$186.30	$-30.12	-13.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	276	0.585	$161.46	$-47.67	-22.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	0.970	$159.51	$38.44	+31.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	82	0.730	$59.86	$0.82	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	82	0.525	$43.05	$-4.51	-9.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.125	$14.38	$-2.88	-16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	165	0.030	$4.95	$-89.89	-94.8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.029	$3.33	$-8.16	-71.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	115	0.011	$1.21	$-7.53	-86.2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-5.19	-97.6%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-21.78	-99.4%