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Trader leaderboard/0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19a43bdd336b171e481e5630dc5e8f73d88c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
18W / 6L · 715 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
418W / 299L · 22 open
Trades (30d)
739
across 284 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.30
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
27.58
$2 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
4.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,796 · all-time $23,173

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.9% 33W/26L 548 $1,522
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 101 $188
💵 Economy 78 $200
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 51 $94
🤖 Tech 16 $86
🔬 Science 7 $15
🌤 Weather 5 $5
⚽ Sports 5 $56
🎬 Culture 4 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? No 375 0.181 $67.93 $9.13 +15.5%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes 95 0.180 $17.05 $-6.29 -26.9%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes 41 0.395 $16.07 $-13.56 -45.8%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? No 40 0.360 $14.40 $-0.20 -1.4%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? Yes 40 0.355 $14.20 $0.00 +0.0%
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up 60 0.205 $12.30 $-4.70 -27.6%
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes 46 0.220 $10.05 $-1.29 -11.4%
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.160 $9.60 $-2.40 -20.0%
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes 20 0.475 $9.50 $0.35 +3.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes 15 0.625 $9.38 $0.82 +9.6%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No 56 0.130 $7.30 $-5.20 -41.6%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 10 0.675 $6.75 $-0.30 -4.3%
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes 78 0.086 $6.70 $-1.93 -22.3%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 96 0.069 $6.59 $-4.91 -42.7%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 80 0.081 $6.45 $5.59 +653.7%
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes 44 0.145 $6.41 $-2.00 -23.8%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes 25 0.255 $6.38 $-3.52 -35.6%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 48 0.125 $5.96 $-1.56 -20.7%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 35 0.170 $5.95 $1.20 +25.3%
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 25 0.220 $5.50 $-0.50 -8.3%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 18 0.295 $5.41 $0.27 +5.4%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.540 $5.40 $1.50 +38.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 30 0.177 $5.32 $-2.61 -32.9%
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 15 0.345 $5.17 $0.02 +0.5%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes 45 0.105 $4.72 $-1.32 -21.9%