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Trader leaderboard/0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19a43bdd336b171e481e5630dc5e8f73d88c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 505 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
248W / 251L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
511
across 181 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.75
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.03
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,917 · all-time $23,294

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.9% 33W/26L 585 $1,573
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 126 $216
💵 Economy 91 $213
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 63 $106
🤖 Tech 19 $87
🌤 Weather 7 $6
🔬 Science 7 $15
⚽ Sports 7 $62
🎬 Culture 7 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? No 353 0.249 $88.14 $32.80 +59.3%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes 95 0.165 $15.63 $-7.71 -33.0%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes 41 0.380 $15.46 $-14.17 -47.8%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? Yes 40 0.345 $13.79 $-0.40 -2.8%
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up 60 0.205 $12.30 $-4.70 -27.6%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? No 40 0.280 $11.20 $-3.40 -23.3%
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes 46 0.215 $9.82 $-1.52 -13.4%
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes 20 0.470 $9.40 $0.25 +2.7%
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.155 $9.30 $-2.70 -22.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes 15 0.605 $9.07 $0.53 +6.1%
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes 78 0.095 $7.36 $-1.26 -14.6%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No 56 0.130 $7.30 $-5.20 -41.6%
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? Yes 14 0.528 $7.16 $5.20 +264.5%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 10 0.675 $6.75 $-0.30 -4.3%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 80 0.081 $6.41 $5.55 +649.0%
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes 44 0.145 $6.41 $-2.00 -23.8%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes 25 0.255 $6.38 $-3.52 -35.6%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 48 0.125 $5.96 $-1.56 -20.7%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 35 0.170 $5.95 $1.20 +25.3%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 96 0.059 $5.62 $-5.87 -51.1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 18 0.295 $5.41 $0.27 +5.4%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.540 $5.40 $1.50 +38.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 30 0.177 $5.32 $-2.61 -32.9%
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 25 0.210 $5.25 $-0.75 -12.5%
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 15 0.340 $5.10 $-0.05 -1.0%