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Trader leaderboard/0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415

0xe50c19a43bdd336b171e481e5630dc5e8f73d88c
PnL (30d)
−$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
30W / 26L · 1,442 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
858W / 592L · 48 open
Trades (30d)
1,498
across 548 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.21
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.57
$4 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,376 · all-time $22,752

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.6% 30W/26L 548 $1,522
🏛 Politics 109 $205
💵 Economy 86 $220
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 58 $99
🤖 Tech 19 $101
🔬 Science 7 $15
🎬 Culture 6 $9
⚽ Sports 6 $56
🌤 Weather 6 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? No 375 0.180 $67.56 $8.76 +14.9%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes 95 0.160 $15.16 $-8.18 -35.1%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? Yes 40 0.350 $14.00 $-0.20 -1.4%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? No 40 0.330 $13.20 $-1.40 -9.6%
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up 60 0.205 $12.30 $-4.70 -27.6%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes 41 0.255 $10.37 $-19.25 -65.0%
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes 46 0.210 $9.59 $-1.75 -15.4%
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 60 0.155 $9.30 $-2.70 -22.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes 15 0.620 $9.30 $0.75 +8.8%
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes 20 0.430 $8.60 $-0.55 -6.0%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No 56 0.130 $7.30 $-5.20 -41.6%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 10 0.680 $6.80 $-0.25 -3.5%
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes 78 0.087 $6.78 $-1.84 -21.4%
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes 80 0.082 $6.53 $5.67 +663.0%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes 25 0.260 $6.50 $-3.40 -34.3%
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes 44 0.145 $6.41 $-2.00 -23.8%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 48 0.126 $5.98 $-1.54 -20.4%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 35 0.170 $5.95 $1.20 +25.3%
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 25 0.225 $5.62 $-0.38 -6.2%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 18 0.300 $5.50 $0.37 +7.1%
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.540 $5.40 $1.50 +38.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 30 0.177 $5.31 $-2.63 -33.1%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 96 0.054 $5.19 $-6.30 -54.8%
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 15 0.345 $5.17 $0.02 +0.5%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes 45 0.105 $4.72 $-1.32 -21.9%