PnL (30d)

+$311

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

53W / 0L · 1,392 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

856W / 588L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,445

across 151 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$155.47

avg win $155

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 53W/0L	160	$6,869
🏛 Politics	—	75	$1,121
🎬 Culture	—	4	$50
🔬 Science	—	3	$124
💵 Economy	—	3	$70
🤖 Tech	—	2	$30
⚽ Sports	—	1	$1
₿ Crypto	—	1	$2

Open positions

92 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	275	0.155	$42.65	$-0.72	-1.7%
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	540	0.070	$37.83	$1.04	+2.8%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	214	0.170	$36.46	$4.95	+15.7%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	306	0.095	$29.07	$1.52	+5.5%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	869	0.033	$28.25	$-9.51	-25.2%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	297	0.075	$22.29	$3.43	+18.2%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	165	0.125	$20.59	$-8.32	-28.8%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	131	0.125	$16.40	$0.66	+4.2%
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	114	0.125	$14.28	$0.57	+4.2%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Yes	36	0.380	$13.55	$-1.45	-9.6%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	312	0.043	$13.37	$3.80	+39.7%
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	128	0.100	$12.84	$0.46	+3.7%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	158	0.080	$12.62	$-3.35	-21.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	125	0.095	$11.90	$1.27	+11.9%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Yes	140	0.085	$11.80	$-1.01	-7.9%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Yes	87	0.135	$11.73	$-0.76	-6.1%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	177	0.065	$11.48	$-0.88	-7.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	222	0.045	$9.97	$-1.13	-10.2%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	43	0.220	$9.43	$3.86	+69.2%
Eric Adams charged by December 31?	Yes	38	0.250	$9.43	$-2.50	-21.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	27	0.350	$9.42	$2.53	+36.7%
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	Yes	211	0.043	$9.15	$-7.72	-45.8%
Trump goes to space in 2026?	Yes	518	0.017	$8.55	$-7.00	-45.0%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	53	0.155	$8.26	$-3.46	-29.5%
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	Yes	141	0.055	$7.74	$-3.13	-28.8%