| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
214 |
0.170 |
$36.46 |
$4.95 |
+15.7% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
Yes |
540 |
0.065 |
$35.12 |
$-1.66 |
-4.5% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
869 |
0.033 |
$28.25 |
$-9.51 |
-25.2% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? |
Yes |
297 |
0.075 |
$22.29 |
$3.43 |
+18.2% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
Yes |
165 |
0.125 |
$20.59 |
$-8.32 |
-28.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
131 |
0.125 |
$16.40 |
$0.66 |
+4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.125 |
$14.28 |
$0.57 |
+4.2% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
Yes |
36 |
0.375 |
$13.37 |
$-1.62 |
-10.8% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
312 |
0.043 |
$13.37 |
$3.80 |
+39.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
158 |
0.080 |
$12.62 |
$-3.35 |
-21.0% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
128 |
0.095 |
$12.20 |
$-0.18 |
-1.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.095 |
$11.90 |
$1.27 |
+11.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
140 |
0.085 |
$11.80 |
$-1.01 |
-7.9% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
Yes |
87 |
0.135 |
$11.73 |
$-0.76 |
-6.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
75 |
0.155 |
$11.68 |
$-0.20 |
-1.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
177 |
0.065 |
$11.48 |
$-0.88 |
-7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
222 |
0.045 |
$9.97 |
$-1.13 |
-10.2% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? |
Yes |
38 |
0.245 |
$9.24 |
$-2.69 |
-22.6% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.215 |
$9.22 |
$3.64 |
+65.4% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? |
Yes |
211 |
0.043 |
$9.15 |
$-7.72 |
-45.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
Yes |
27 |
0.320 |
$8.61 |
$1.72 |
+24.9% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
Yes |
518 |
0.017 |
$8.55 |
$-7.00 |
-45.0% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.155 |
$8.26 |
$-3.46 |
-29.5% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
Yes |
141 |
0.055 |
$7.74 |
$-3.13 |
-28.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
81 |
0.095 |
$7.73 |
$-0.70 |
-8.3% |