| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
275 |
0.145 |
$39.89 |
$-3.47 |
-8.0% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
Yes |
540 |
0.070 |
$37.83 |
$1.04 |
+2.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
214 |
0.165 |
$35.39 |
$3.88 |
+12.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
306 |
0.095 |
$29.07 |
$1.52 |
+5.5% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
869 |
0.033 |
$28.25 |
$-9.51 |
-25.2% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? |
Yes |
297 |
0.075 |
$22.29 |
$3.43 |
+18.2% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
Yes |
165 |
0.125 |
$20.59 |
$-8.32 |
-28.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
131 |
0.125 |
$16.40 |
$0.66 |
+4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.125 |
$14.28 |
$0.57 |
+4.2% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
Yes |
36 |
0.380 |
$13.55 |
$-1.45 |
-9.6% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
312 |
0.043 |
$13.37 |
$3.80 |
+39.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
158 |
0.080 |
$12.62 |
$-3.35 |
-21.0% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
Yes |
273 |
0.045 |
$12.28 |
$-2.70 |
-18.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.095 |
$11.90 |
$1.27 |
+11.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
140 |
0.085 |
$11.80 |
$-1.01 |
-7.9% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
Yes |
87 |
0.135 |
$11.73 |
$-0.76 |
-6.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
177 |
0.065 |
$11.48 |
$-0.88 |
-7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
222 |
0.045 |
$9.97 |
$-1.13 |
-10.2% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.220 |
$9.43 |
$3.86 |
+69.2% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? |
Yes |
38 |
0.240 |
$9.05 |
$-2.88 |
-24.1% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? |
Yes |
211 |
0.043 |
$9.04 |
$-7.82 |
-46.4% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
93 |
0.095 |
$8.81 |
$-0.36 |
-3.9% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
Yes |
518 |
0.017 |
$8.55 |
$-7.00 |
-45.0% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.155 |
$8.26 |
$-3.46 |
-29.5% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
Yes |
141 |
0.055 |
$7.74 |
$-3.13 |
-28.8% |