| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,132 |
0.235 |
$265.97 |
$5.66 |
+2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
580 |
0.440 |
$255.20 |
$5.80 |
+2.3% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
390 |
0.560 |
$218.32 |
$-7.18 |
-3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? |
Yes |
168 |
0.935 |
$156.87 |
$4.19 |
+2.7% |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
300 |
0.435 |
$130.42 |
$-12.25 |
-8.6% |
| Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
No |
324 |
0.370 |
$120.02 |
$-2.88 |
-2.3% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
170 |
0.650 |
$110.50 |
$34.00 |
+44.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
848 |
0.125 |
$105.97 |
$-2.44 |
-2.3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,091 |
0.080 |
$87.30 |
$-67.46 |
-43.6% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
296 |
0.275 |
$81.43 |
$26.84 |
+49.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.260 |
$77.94 |
$-3.00 |
-3.7% |
| Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.045 |
$56.22 |
$-2.48 |
-4.2% |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
666 |
0.068 |
$45.28 |
$-64.95 |
-58.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,242 |
0.035 |
$42.86 |
$-1.55 |
-3.5% |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-08-05? |
No |
319 |
0.125 |
$39.88 |
$4.12 |
+11.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? |
Yes |
225 |
0.165 |
$37.12 |
$-7.42 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
292 |
0.115 |
$33.61 |
$-2.77 |
-7.6% |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? |
Yes |
486 |
0.058 |
$27.96 |
$11.22 |
+67.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
869 |
0.030 |
$26.07 |
$12.53 |
+92.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? |
No |
121 |
0.205 |
$24.81 |
$-10.19 |
-29.1% |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? |
Yes |
1,530 |
0.016 |
$24.48 |
$-100.70 |
-80.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
No |
320 |
0.065 |
$20.79 |
$-19.40 |
-48.3% |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? |
Yes |
611 |
0.034 |
$20.76 |
$-18.63 |
-47.3% |
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? |
Yes |
716 |
0.028 |
$20.04 |
$-17.81 |
-47.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
240 |
0.083 |
$19.95 |
$16.61 |
+498.7% |