PnL (30d)

+$607

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$174

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

2,285W / 2,507L · 212 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

2,386W / 2,581L · 37 open

Trades (30d)

5,004

across 334 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

+$2.02

avg win $58 · loss $51

Profit Factor

1.08

$8,487 won / $7,880 lost

Reward / Risk

1.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$411

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.7% 2,285W/2,507L	334	$131,842
⚽ Sports	71.1% 32W/13L	19	$954
🏛 Politics	92.1% 82W/7L	12	$3,903
🎬 Culture	88.5% 100W/13L	10	$2,863
🌤 Weather	12.3% 15W/107L	7	$750
💵 Economy	42.9% 6W/8L	4	$266
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	1,132	0.235	$265.97	$5.66	+2.2%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	390	0.560	$218.32	$-7.18	-3.2%
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?	Yes	168	0.935	$156.87	$4.19	+2.7%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	300	0.435	$130.42	$-12.25	-8.6%
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	324	0.370	$120.02	$-2.88	-2.3%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	170	0.650	$110.50	$34.00	+44.4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	848	0.115	$97.49	$-10.92	-10.1%
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	Yes	296	0.310	$91.79	$37.21	+68.2%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,091	0.080	$87.30	$-67.46	-43.6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	300	0.265	$79.44	$-1.51	-1.9%
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	1,249	0.039	$48.72	$-9.98	-17.0%
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	Yes	666	0.061	$40.62	$-69.61	-63.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?	Yes	225	0.175	$39.38	$-5.17	-11.6%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	292	0.115	$33.61	$-2.77	-7.6%
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	486	0.058	$27.96	$11.22	+67.0%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	1,242	0.022	$27.95	$-16.46	-37.1%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	121	0.205	$24.81	$-10.19	-29.1%
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	1,530	0.016	$24.48	$-100.70	-80.4%
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	192	0.110	$21.11	$-32.73	-60.8%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	320	0.065	$20.79	$-19.40	-48.3%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	611	0.034	$20.76	$-18.63	-47.3%
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	716	0.029	$20.39	$-17.45	-46.1%
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	240	0.073	$17.66	$14.33	+430.1%
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	Yes	80	0.220	$17.60	$-0.80	-4.3%
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	203	0.073	$14.91	$-0.77	-4.9%