Trader
0xe1e5255c0a89dc14e8bbfd62f26666d86e7b35a4
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$27
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
17W / 36L · 79 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
19W / 46L · 67 open
Trades (30d)
132
across 17 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$2.41
avg win $0 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.01
$0 won / $27 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $463 · all-time $32,337
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.962 |
$8.13 |
$-0.07 |
-0.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.830 |
$1.54 |
$0.54 |
+53.7% |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1 |
0.976 |
$1.30 |
$0.30 |
+30.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.845 |
$1.08 |
$0.08 |
+8.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
6 |
0.170 |
$0.96 |
$-4.17 |
-81.3% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
26 |
0.035 |
$0.92 |
$-0.08 |
-7.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
1 |
0.185 |
$0.26 |
$-0.74 |
-73.6% |