PnL (30d)

−$87

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

195W / 208L · 301 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

229W / 364L · 111 open

Trades (30d)

704

across 121 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$1.34

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.33

$43 won / $130 lost

Reward / Risk

0.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$71

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.4% 195W/208L	121	$1,353
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/30L	21	$253
💵 Economy	—	6	$47
⚽ Sports	34.6% 18W/34L	6	$257
🤖 Tech	—	5	$30
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/7L	4	$70
🌤 Weather	—	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$2
₿ Crypto	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	8	0.957	$8.09	$-0.11	-1.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	2	0.785	$1.45	$0.45	+45.4%
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	1	0.976	$1.30	$0.30	+30.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	6	0.215	$1.21	$-3.92	-76.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	1	0.845	$1.08	$0.08	+8.3%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	26	0.037	$0.99	$-0.01	-1.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	1	0.235	$0.34	$-0.66	-66.4%