PnL (30d)

−$424

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$123

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

263W / 1,953L · 340 open

Win Return (30d)

16%

409W / 2,146L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

2,556

across 108 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

−$4.98

avg win $350 · loss $37

Profit Factor

0.85

$2,451 won / $2,875 lost

Reward / Risk

9.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$635

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.5% 781W/4,596L	255	$13,944
🏛 Politics	5.8% 41W/665L	50	$1,457
🎬 Culture	5.8% 41W/665L	50	$1,457

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	163	0.970	$158.32	$86.80	+121.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	380	0.415	$157.70	$87.50	+124.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.325	$113.73	$46.95	+70.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	403	0.127	$50.98	$12.36	+32.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	380	0.125	$47.50	$-7.70	-13.9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	35	0.475	$16.62	$2.02	+13.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	19	0.730	$13.52	$5.00	+58.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	460	0.029	$13.34	$-32.06	-70.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	40	0.270	$10.80	$-1.00	-8.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	70	0.125	$8.75	$2.35	+36.7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	270	0.030	$8.23	$-35.95	-81.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	45	0.175	$7.90	$2.38	+43.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.011	$5.14	$-11.48	-69.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	510	0.009	$4.33	$-24.44	-84.9%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	20	0.175	$3.50	$1.00	+40.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	622	0.003	$1.55	$-18.78	-92.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.075	$1.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.045	$0.90	$0.10	+12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	1	0.525	$0.75	$0.32	+75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.002	$0.73	$-6.82	-90.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	10	0.070	$0.70	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.021	$0.61	$-0.01	-2.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	770	0.001	$0.39	$-2.78	-87.8%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	241	0.002	$0.36	$0.12	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-0.25	-50.0%