PnL (30d)

−$424

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$119

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

263W / 1,953L · 340 open

Win Return (30d)

16%

409W / 2,147L

Trades (30d)

2,556

across 108 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

−$4.98

avg win $350 · loss $37

Profit Factor

0.85

$2,451 won / $2,875 lost

Reward / Risk

9.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$635

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.5% 781W/4,596L	255	$13,944
🏛 Politics	5.8% 41W/665L	50	$1,457
🎬 Culture	5.8% 41W/665L	50	$1,457

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	380	0.425	$161.50	$91.30	+130.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	163	0.971	$158.40	$86.88	+121.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.265	$92.74	$25.95	+38.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	393	0.184	$72.31	$34.88	+93.2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	380	0.075	$28.50	$-26.70	-48.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	35	0.460	$16.09	$1.50	+10.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	19	0.730	$13.52	$5.00	+58.7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	40	0.270	$10.80	$-1.00	-8.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	70	0.135	$9.45	$3.05	+47.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.018	$8.57	$-8.05	-48.4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	270	0.030	$8.23	$-35.95	-81.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	460	0.018	$8.05	$-37.34	-82.3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	45	0.165	$7.45	$1.93	+35.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	20	0.175	$3.50	$1.00	+40.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	510	0.006	$3.31	$-25.46	-88.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	572	0.003	$1.43	$-18.81	-92.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.065	$1.30	$-0.20	-13.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.029	$0.85	$0.23	+35.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	1	0.540	$0.77	$0.34	+80.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.002	$0.73	$-6.82	-90.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	10	0.070	$0.70	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	430	0.002	$0.64	$-7.34	-91.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	770	0.001	$0.39	$-2.78	-87.8%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	221	0.002	$0.33	$0.11	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-0.25	-50.0%