PnL (30d)

+$329

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$75

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

781W / 4,596L · 448 open

Win Return (30d)

16%

930W / 4,895L

Trades (30d)

5,825

across 255 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

+$1.47

avg win $285 · loss $33

Profit Factor

1.05

$6,832 won / $6,503 lost

Reward / Risk

8.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$626

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.5% 781W/4,596L	255	$13,944
🏛 Politics	7.6% 60W/726L	51	$1,556
🎬 Culture	7.6% 60W/726L	51	$1,556

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	163	0.967	$157.75	$86.23	+120.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	380	0.415	$157.70	$87.50	+124.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.245	$85.74	$18.95	+28.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	393	0.186	$73.29	$35.86	+95.8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	370	0.085	$31.45	$-23.05	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	35	0.455	$15.92	$1.32	+9.1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	19	0.730	$13.52	$5.00	+58.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.025	$12.00	$-4.62	-27.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	40	0.270	$10.80	$-1.00	-8.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	70	0.125	$8.75	$2.35	+36.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	460	0.018	$8.51	$-36.88	-81.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	250	0.032	$7.87	$-35.71	-81.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	45	0.165	$7.45	$1.93	+35.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	20	0.185	$3.70	$1.20	+48.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	510	0.005	$2.80	$-25.97	-90.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.075	$1.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	572	0.003	$1.43	$-18.81	-92.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	770	0.002	$1.16	$-2.01	-63.5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	430	0.003	$1.07	$-6.91	-86.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	30	0.026	$0.79	$0.16	+26.2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	1	0.545	$0.78	$0.35	+81.6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	490	0.002	$0.73	$-6.82	-90.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	10	0.065	$0.65	$-0.05	-7.1%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-0.25	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	500	0.001	$0.25	$-0.25	-50.0%