Log in
Trader leaderboard/god83743894

god83743894

0xe040ffe586e21cb49449e8daf19b1cdff87a824f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,052
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
12,885W / 4,519L · 314 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
12,998W / 4,561L · 159 open
Trades (30d)
17,718
across 3,191 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.69
avg win $9 · loss $50
Profit Factor
1.10
$22,380 won / $20,329 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$717
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $205,873 · all-time $2,115,812

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.7% 44,102W/17,446L 9495 $515,105
🌤 Weather 74.2% 4,180W/1,453L 1195 $52,270
🏛 Politics 67.8% 221W/105L 40 $3,892
🎬 Culture 67.8% 221W/105L 40 $3,892

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5? No 19 0.998 $19.01 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5? No 19 0.997 $18.99 $18.99 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5? No 19 0.994 $18.89 $0.08 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? No 19 0.955 $18.19 $0.61 +3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? No 19 0.660 $12.54 $-0.66 -5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 19 0.490 $9.48 $-0.19 -2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.998 $4.45 $4.05 +997.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 4 1.000 $3.73 $3.39 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 4 1.000 $3.56 $3.24 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.745 $3.37 $2.96 +719.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 3 1.000 $3.20 $2.91 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 3 1.000 $3.12 $2.83 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? Yes 3 1.000 $3.00 $2.73 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 3 1.000 $2.76 $2.51 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.715 $2.51 $2.19 +686.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 5 0.400 $1.97 $1.53 +340.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 2 1.000 $1.91 $1.74 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? Yes 3 0.725 $1.90 $1.66 +697.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? Yes 3 0.580 $1.89 $1.59 +538.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 2 0.970 $1.85 $1.67 +966.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.390 $1.65 $1.26 +329.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 1 1.000 $1.48 $1.35 +999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.375 $1.48 $1.12 +312.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 5? Yes 147 0.010 $1.47 $-11.86 -89.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? Yes 4 0.335 $1.22 $0.89 +268.5%