PnL (30d)

+$7,978

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

44,076W / 17,438L · 1,107 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

44,598W / 17,667L · 356 open

Trades (30d)

62,621

across 9,495 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.89

avg win $12 · loss $61

Profit Factor

1.09

$94,298 won / $86,322 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,864

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.7% 44,076W/17,438L	9495	$515,105
🌤 Weather	73.5% 4,527W/1,628L	1287	$56,037
🏛 Politics	67.9% 222W/105L	41	$3,902
🎬 Culture	67.9% 222W/105L	41	$3,902

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 5?	No	95	0.999	$94.86	$94.86	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5?	No	95	0.999	$94.86	$94.86	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5?	No	95	0.997	$94.72	$94.72	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	95	0.850	$80.75	$-1.90	-2.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	No	95	0.825	$78.23	$1.13	+1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	No	50	0.997	$49.85	$2.94	+6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	No	50	0.913	$45.67	$4.62	+11.3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 5?	No	38	0.998	$37.94	$37.94	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 5?	No	38	0.995	$37.85	$37.85	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 5?	No	38	0.994	$37.79	$37.79	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5?	No	38	0.960	$36.51	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5?	No	38	0.885	$33.66	$0.19	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	No	95	0.310	$29.45	$0.46	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?	No	38	0.695	$26.43	$0.42	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5?	No	20	0.995	$19.98	$0.02	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5?	No	20	0.945	$18.98	$0.60	+3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 5?	No	19	0.998	$18.95	$18.95	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	19	0.996	$18.92	$18.92	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	19	0.985	$18.71	$18.71	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 5?	No	19	0.975	$18.52	$18.52	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	No	38	0.465	$17.70	$2.21	+14.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	19	0.760	$14.44	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	19	0.760	$14.35	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5?	No	20	0.650	$13.06	$0.40	+3.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5?	Yes	12	0.905	$11.12	$10.00	+895.5%