PnL (30d)

+$820

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

382W / 246L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

383W / 249L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

637

across 81 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$10.93

avg win $53 · loss $97

Profit Factor

1.40

$2,862 won / $2,042 lost

Reward / Risk

0.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$571

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.7% 44,102W/17,446L	9495	$515,105
🌤 Weather	74.2% 4,180W/1,453L	1195	$52,270
🏛 Politics	67.8% 221W/105L	40	$3,892
🎬 Culture	67.8% 221W/105L	40	$3,892

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.998	$4.45	$4.05	+997.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	4	1.000	$3.73	$3.39	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	4	1.000	$3.56	$3.24	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.745	$3.37	$2.96	+719.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	3	1.000	$3.20	$2.91	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	3	1.000	$3.12	$2.83	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	3	1.000	$3.00	$2.73	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	3	1.000	$2.76	$2.51	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.715	$2.51	$2.19	+686.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.400	$1.97	$1.53	+340.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	2	1.000	$1.91	$1.74	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.725	$1.90	$1.66	+697.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.580	$1.89	$1.59	+538.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.970	$1.85	$1.67	+966.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.390	$1.65	$1.26	+329.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	1	1.000	$1.48	$1.35	+999.4%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.375	$1.48	$1.12	+312.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	147	0.010	$1.47	$-11.86	-89.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	4	0.335	$1.22	$0.89	+268.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	1	0.810	$1.08	$0.96	+791.4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.490	$0.78	$0.64	+439.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	3	0.250	$0.78	$0.49	+175.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	3	0.240	$0.77	$0.48	+164.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.215	$0.68	$0.39	+136.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	4	0.185	$0.67	$0.34	+103.5%