| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
89 |
0.325 |
$28.87 |
$-2.77 |
-8.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
115 |
0.250 |
$28.75 |
$-1.15 |
-3.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
37 |
0.757 |
$28.07 |
$-1.21 |
-4.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
43 |
0.640 |
$27.78 |
$-2.17 |
-7.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
125 |
0.145 |
$18.12 |
$-1.88 |
-9.4% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? |
No |
23 |
0.645 |
$14.84 |
$0.12 |
+0.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.480 |
$14.40 |
$-0.30 |
-2.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
16 |
0.680 |
$11.04 |
$-0.81 |
-6.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.150 |
$10.54 |
$-4.38 |
-29.3% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
17 |
0.600 |
$10.20 |
$-3.23 |
-24.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
15 |
0.550 |
$8.25 |
$-1.50 |
-15.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
11 |
0.725 |
$8.05 |
$0.50 |
+6.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.385 |
$5.78 |
$-0.82 |
-12.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
4 |
0.963 |
$4.04 |
$1.27 |
+45.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
34 |
0.110 |
$3.74 |
$-1.36 |
-26.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.890 |
$3.56 |
$1.04 |
+41.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.855 |
$3.42 |
$0.34 |
+11.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
3 |
0.935 |
$2.96 |
$1.25 |
+73.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.225 |
$2.70 |
$0.42 |
+18.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.275 |
$1.93 |
$-0.32 |
-14.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
3 |
0.640 |
$1.91 |
$0.09 |
+4.9% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.315 |
$1.89 |
$0.03 |
+1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Yes |
4 |
0.425 |
$1.70 |
$-0.66 |
-28.0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.405 |
$1.62 |
$-0.06 |
-3.6% |