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Trader

0xdc765e651a5ef31f5926daffcad93f62e08e5f55
PnL (30d)
−$62
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$67
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
72W / 61L · 459 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
321W / 265L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
592
across 168 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$2.15
avg win $6 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.52
$67 won / $129 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,197 · all-time $43,028

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.1% 72W/61L 168 $5,621
🏛 Politics 23 $432
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 18 $334
⚽ Sports 9 $212
₿ Crypto 7 $159
🤖 Tech 5 $109
🎬 Culture 4 $128

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 89 0.325 $28.87 $-2.77 -8.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 115 0.250 $28.75 $-1.15 -3.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? No 37 0.753 $27.93 $-1.36 -4.6%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 43 0.635 $27.56 $-2.39 -8.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 125 0.145 $18.12 $-1.88 -9.4%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? No 23 0.645 $14.84 $0.12 +0.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.475 $14.25 $-0.45 -3.1%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 16 0.670 $10.88 $-0.97 -8.2%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 17 0.630 $10.71 $-2.72 -20.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 70 0.150 $10.54 $-4.38 -29.3%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 15 0.550 $8.25 $-1.50 -15.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 11 0.725 $8.05 $0.50 +6.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 15 0.375 $5.63 $-0.97 -14.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 4 0.966 $4.05 $1.28 +46.3%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 34 0.110 $3.74 $-1.36 -26.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 4 0.890 $3.56 $1.04 +41.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes 4 0.875 $3.50 $0.42 +13.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 3 0.925 $2.93 $1.22 +71.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 12 0.225 $2.70 $0.42 +18.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 7 0.275 $1.93 $-0.32 -14.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 3 0.640 $1.91 $0.09 +4.9%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 6 0.315 $1.89 $0.03 +1.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? Yes 4 0.425 $1.70 $-0.66 -28.0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4 0.405 $1.62 $-0.06 -3.6%