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Trader

0xdc765e651a5ef31f5926daffcad93f62e08e5f55
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
3W / 2L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
12W / 14L
Trades (30d)
26
across 9 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$2.30
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.22
$1 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,197 · all-time $43,028

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.1% 72W/61L 168 $5,621
🏛 Politics 19 $389
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 17 $300
⚽ Sports 8 $195
₿ Crypto 7 $136
🤖 Tech 5 $109
🎬 Culture 4 $128

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? No 37 0.794 $29.45 $0.17 +0.6%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 89 0.325 $28.87 $-2.77 -8.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 115 0.250 $28.75 $-1.15 -3.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 43 0.645 $28.00 $-1.95 -6.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 125 0.145 $18.12 $-1.88 -9.4%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? No 23 0.645 $14.84 $0.12 +0.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.485 $14.55 $-0.15 -1.0%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 16 0.660 $10.71 $-1.14 -9.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 70 0.147 $10.32 $-4.58 -30.8%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 17 0.585 $9.95 $-3.48 -25.9%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 15 0.545 $8.18 $-1.57 -16.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 11 0.725 $8.05 $0.50 +6.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 15 0.385 $5.78 $-0.82 -12.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 4 0.962 $4.04 $1.27 +45.7%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 34 0.110 $3.74 $-1.36 -26.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 4 0.895 $3.58 $1.06 +42.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes 4 0.860 $3.44 $0.36 +11.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 3 0.925 $2.93 $1.22 +71.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 12 0.235 $2.82 $0.54 +23.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 7 0.285 $1.99 $-0.25 -11.0%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 6 0.330 $1.98 $0.12 +6.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 3 0.570 $1.70 $-0.12 -6.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? Yes 4 0.425 $1.70 $-0.66 -28.0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4 0.410 $1.64 $-0.04 -2.4%