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Trader leaderboard/third-eye

third-eye

0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4,157
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$566
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
185W / 120L · 115 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
270W / 150L
Trades (30d)
420
across 91 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$69.28
avg win $310 · loss $492
Profit Factor
1.47
$13,020 won / $8,863 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $96,323 · all-time $24,692,723

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.1% 431W/184L 172 $711,291
⚽ Sports 29 $2,932
🏛 Politics 33.3% 1W/2L 16 $33,997
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 16 $11,540
🎬 Culture 8 $3,397
🤖 Tech 7 $2,149
🔬 Science 1 $548
₿ Crypto 1 $2,096

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 29,299 0.980 $28,698.61 $580.04 +2.1%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 9,034 0.978 $8,830.74 $-0.51 -0.0%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? Yes 5,889 0.953 $5,609.65 $77.88 +1.4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 5,539 0.927 $5,137.25 $159.71 +3.2%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 5,000 0.955 $4,775.00 $75.00 +1.6%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No 4,076 0.981 $3,996.40 $105.74 +2.7%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 19,334 0.134 $2,581.10 $1,307.35 +102.6%
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 1,553 0.915 $1,421.06 $120.86 +9.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? Yes 1,023 0.990 $1,013.04 $58.77 +6.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 1,000 0.975 $975.00 $-15.00 -1.5%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 1,238 0.755 $934.48 $117.58 +14.4%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 767 0.915 $701.56 $42.17 +6.4%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No 588 0.979 $575.84 $11.96 +2.1%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 7,500 0.065 $487.50 $-162.36 -25.0%
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 445 0.951 $422.88 $-1.44 -0.3%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 1,000 0.205 $205.00 $-15.00 -6.8%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,581 0.079 $124.10 $20.56 +19.9%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000? Yes 113 0.975 $110.14 $1.64 +1.5%