PnL (30d)

+$3,166

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,595

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

97%

203W / 6L · 341 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

418W / 132L

Trades (30d)

550

across 26 markets · ~21 per market

EV / position

+$395.75

avg win $457 · loss $36

Profit Factor

88.45

$3,202 won / $36 lost

Reward / Risk

12.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$435

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.1% 431W/184L	172	$711,291
⚽ Sports	—	29	$2,932
💵 Economy	33.3% 1W/2L	16	$11,540
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	15	$33,449
🎬 Culture	—	7	$2,849
🤖 Tech	—	7	$2,149
₿ Crypto	—	1	$2,096

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	5,802	0.953	$5,526.82	$76.73	+1.4%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	4,076	0.981	$3,996.40	$105.74	+2.7%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	1,238	0.755	$934.48	$117.58	+14.4%