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Trader leaderboard/third-eye

third-eye

0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,612
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
161W / 6L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
174W / 19L
Trades (30d)
193
across 22 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$435.38
avg win $530 · loss $36
Profit Factor
73.16
$2,648 won / $36 lost
Reward / Risk
14.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$435
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $96,961 · all-time $24,693,361

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.1% 431W/184L 172 $711,291
⚽ Sports 29 $2,932
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 16 $11,540
🏛 Politics 33.3% 1W/2L 15 $33,449
🎬 Culture 7 $2,849
🤖 Tech 7 $2,149
₿ Crypto 1 $2,096

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 9,031 0.978 $8,827.32 $-0.51 -0.0%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? Yes 5,889 0.953 $5,612.60 $80.82 +1.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 5,524 0.926 $5,117.64 $153.74 +3.1%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 5,000 0.955 $4,775.00 $75.00 +1.6%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No 4,076 0.981 $3,996.40 $105.74 +2.7%
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 1,553 0.915 $1,421.06 $120.86 +9.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 1,000 0.975 $975.00 $-15.00 -1.5%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 1,238 0.760 $940.67 $123.77 +15.2%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No 588 0.979 $575.84 $11.96 +2.1%
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 445 0.951 $422.88 $-1.44 -0.3%