third-eye
0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2,612
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
161W / 6L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
174W / 19L
Trades (30d)
193
across 22 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$435.38
avg win $530 · loss $36
Profit Factor
73.16
$2,648 won / $36 lost
Reward / Risk
14.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$435
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $96,961 · all-time $24,693,361
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
9,031 |
0.978 |
$8,827.32 |
$-0.51 |
-0.0% |
| Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? |
Yes |
5,889 |
0.953 |
$5,612.60 |
$80.82 |
+1.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
5,524 |
0.926 |
$5,117.64 |
$153.74 |
+3.1% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.955 |
$4,775.00 |
$75.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? |
No |
4,076 |
0.981 |
$3,996.40 |
$105.74 |
+2.7% |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? |
No |
1,553 |
0.915 |
$1,421.06 |
$120.86 |
+9.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
1,000 |
0.975 |
$975.00 |
$-15.00 |
-1.5% |
| Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? |
Yes |
1,238 |
0.760 |
$940.67 |
$123.77 |
+15.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? |
No |
588 |
0.979 |
$575.84 |
$11.96 |
+2.1% |
| Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? |
No |
445 |
0.951 |
$422.88 |
$-1.44 |
-0.3% |