Fence-sitter
0xdc3d8de9a5e88f7ada1f08b74bfe2116f24d498a
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$78
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
2W / 11L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
17
across 3 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$78.12
avg win $78
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,324 · all-time $422,883
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.740 |
$148.00 |
$48.00 |
+48.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.065 |
$117.00 |
$-85.00 |
-42.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-18.91 |
-33.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.095 |
$37.05 |
$-64.35 |
-63.5% |