Fence-sitter
0xdc3d8de9a5e88f7ada1f08b74bfe2116f24d498a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$5
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-11.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
6W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
55%
6W / 5L
Trades (30d)
11
across 10 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.52
avg win $4 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.79
$20 won / $25 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,324 · all-time $422,883
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.740 |
$148.00 |
$48.00 |
+48.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.065 |
$117.00 |
$-85.00 |
-42.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-18.91 |
-33.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.095 |
$37.05 |
$-64.35 |
-63.5% |