Fence-sitter
0xdc3d8de9a5e88f7ada1f08b74bfe2116f24d498a
PnL (30d)
−$335
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$61
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-17.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
143W / 110L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
147W / 123L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
276
across 180 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.93
avg win $7 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.66
$647 won / $982 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$60
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,324 · all-time $422,883
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.735 |
$147.00 |
$47.00 |
+47.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.065 |
$117.00 |
$-85.00 |
-42.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-18.91 |
-33.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.095 |
$37.05 |
$-64.35 |
-63.5% |