PnL (30d)

−$8

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

7W / 14L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

7W / 30L

Trades (30d)

37

across 4 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$2.65

avg win $0 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.04

$0 won / $8 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	68.1% 618W/290L	137	$11,893
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$98
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$46
₿ Crypto	—	1	$82

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	281	0.845	$237.05	$19.97	+9.2%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	25,124	0.009	$213.56	$-12.54	-5.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	127	0.660	$83.50	$-0.93	-1.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	122	0.630	$77.10	$5.16	+7.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	Yes	649	0.115	$74.66	$-7.59	-9.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	162	0.435	$70.44	$-0.23	-0.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	94	0.515	$48.33	$-5.09	-9.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	343	0.117	$39.96	$-2.08	-4.9%
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	No	26	0.945	$24.13	$0.13	+0.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	24	1.000	$24.04	$0.04	+0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	109	0.205	$22.36	$-1.64	-6.8%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	32	0.585	$18.44	$-0.47	-2.5%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	156	0.115	$17.97	$-13.41	-42.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	Yes	373	0.045	$16.76	$-0.74	-4.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	14	0.905	$12.95	$0.93	+7.7%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	116	0.105	$12.17	$1.15	+10.4%
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	13	0.925	$12.07	$0.07	+0.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	16	0.735	$11.45	$-0.55	-4.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?	Yes	945	0.012	$11.34	$-8.09	-41.6%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	11	0.715	$8.14	$1.02	+14.4%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9	0.930	$8.14	$0.50	+6.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	12	0.625	$7.31	$-0.06	-0.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	Yes	231	0.026	$6.00	$-1.41	-19.1%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.998	$5.63	$0.21	+3.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	111	0.045	$4.98	$-9.13	-64.7%