Arbgod-himself
0xdabd4df1cc941e552b44f0c2e5f929b4851e6ada
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6,915
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
387W / 757L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
389W / 757L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
1,154
across 274 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$25.61
avg win $39 · loss $68
Profit Factor
0.37
$4,143 won / $11,058 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$662
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $856 · all-time $2,091,549
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
2,348 |
0.790 |
$1,854.73 |
$510.98 |
+38.0% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
318 |
0.912 |
$289.67 |
$-14.81 |
-4.9% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
No |
141 |
0.870 |
$122.65 |
$15.34 |
+14.3% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
101 |
0.885 |
$89.39 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
Gen.G |
113 |
0.495 |
$55.92 |
$1.69 |
+3.1% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
155 |
0.165 |
$25.65 |
$-34.04 |
-57.0% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group |
HANJIN BRION |
4 |
1.000 |
$4.00 |
$2.76 |
+222.4% |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
4 |
0.645 |
$2.58 |
$0.18 |
+7.5% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
Hanwha Life Esports |
3 |
0.505 |
$1.40 |
$-0.04 |
-2.9% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
13 |
0.055 |
$0.71 |
$-0.36 |
-33.7% |