Arbgod-himself
0xdabd4df1cc941e552b44f0c2e5f929b4851e6ada
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$51
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
63W / 49L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
65W / 51L
Trades (30d)
116
across 26 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$2.23
avg win $35 · loss $31
Profit Factor
0.87
$354 won / $406 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$108
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $981 · all-time $2,091,673
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
2,348 |
0.795 |
$1,866.46 |
$522.72 |
+38.9% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
318 |
0.913 |
$290.15 |
$-14.33 |
-4.7% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
No |
141 |
0.865 |
$121.95 |
$14.63 |
+13.6% |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
113 |
0.835 |
$94.03 |
$-3.94 |
-4.0% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
101 |
0.885 |
$89.39 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
155 |
0.155 |
$24.10 |
$-35.60 |
-59.6% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
10 |
0.610 |
$5.85 |
$-0.58 |
-9.0% |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
4 |
0.950 |
$3.80 |
$1.40 |
+58.3% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group |
Kiwoom DRX |
2 |
0.695 |
$1.39 |
$-0.01 |
-0.7% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
13 |
0.056 |
$0.72 |
$-0.36 |
-33.1% |