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Trader

0xd96aa9293c34e244734f8b22bbcfde0ae9eed8ce
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$15
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-44.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
3W / 15L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
5W / 17L
Trades (30d)
22
across 22 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.82
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.32
$7 won / $22 lost
Reward / Risk
1.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,351 · all-time $1,903,393

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 2,129W/2,686L 4599 $11,973
⚽ Sports 42.2% 575W/788L 1361 $3,145
💵 Economy 41.7% 5W/7L 13 $34
🏛 Politics 62.5% 5W/3L 11 $21
🎬 Culture 54.5% 6W/5L 11 $21
₿ Crypto 50.0% 3W/3L 7 $23
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $4
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $4
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.999 $4.99 $1.99 +66.4%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner BNK FearX Youth 5 1.000 $4.65 $1.86 +66.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? Yes 5 0.964 $4.43 $1.67 +60.7%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? No 4 0.997 $4.34 $1.90 +77.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? Yes 5 0.885 $4.07 $1.31 +47.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? Yes 5 0.855 $4.02 $1.34 +50.0%
Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 2 - 3 Atlético Nacional? Yes 8 0.499 $3.99 $3.90 +4436.4%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? No 6 0.595 $3.49 $0.09 +2.6%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears NC Dinos 5 0.700 $3.49 $0.85 +32.1%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? No 5 0.665 $3.29 $0.07 +2.3%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? No 5 0.665 $3.19 $0.55 +20.9%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%? No 4 0.735 $3.17 $0.41 +14.8%
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) FC Carl Zeiss Jena 6 0.530 $3.14 $-0.06 -1.9%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5) fnatic 5 0.625 $3.11 $-0.12 -3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? No 4 0.755 $3.06 $0.30 +11.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 5 0.641 $3.02 $0.42 +16.1%
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? No 4 0.727 $2.91 $0.15 +5.4%
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season ZYB Esport 5 0.575 $2.86 $-0.37 -11.5%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5 0.555 $2.77 $-0.12 -4.3%
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 5 0.575 $2.74 $0.02 +0.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? No 4 0.660 $2.68 $0.24 +10.0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Liquid 4 0.655 $2.66 $-0.10 -3.7%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 12 0.220 $2.64 $1.32 +100.0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 4 0.610 $2.59 $-0.17 -6.2%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner Amaru Gaming 5 0.500 $2.51 $-0.15 -5.7%