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Trader

0xd96aa9293c34e244734f8b22bbcfde0ae9eed8ce
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$11
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
63W / 68L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
65W / 69L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
135
across 114 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.10
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.10
$120 won / $109 lost
Reward / Risk
1.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,462 · all-time $1,903,509

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 2,132W/2,691L 4625 $12,040
⚽ Sports 42.8% 494W/660L 1157 $2,720
🏛 Politics 62.5% 5W/3L 12 $22
🎬 Culture 54.5% 6W/5L 12 $24
💵 Economy 50.0% 5W/5L 10 $23
₿ Crypto 75.0% 3W/1L 5 $14
🌤 Weather 3 $8
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.00 +66.6%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner INOX Division 5 1.000 $4.98 $2.67 +115.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? Yes 5 0.975 $4.48 $1.72 +62.5%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? No 4 0.996 $4.34 $1.90 +77.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? Yes 5 0.905 $4.25 $1.57 +58.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? Yes 5 0.925 $4.25 $1.50 +54.2%
ITF Poprad: Peter Makk vs Radovan Michalik Peter Makk 4 1.000 $4.07 $1.31 +47.4%
Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 2 - 3 Atlético Nacional? Yes 8 0.498 $3.99 $3.90 +4431.8%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Liquid 4 0.895 $3.63 $0.87 +31.6%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? No 5 0.725 $3.55 $0.32 +9.8%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? No 6 0.595 $3.49 $0.09 +2.6%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? No 5 0.750 $3.40 $0.64 +23.0%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? No 5 0.670 $3.32 $0.10 +3.1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? No 4 0.805 $3.27 $0.83 +34.2%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 5 0.692 $3.26 $0.66 +25.3%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? No 5 0.670 $3.22 $0.58 +21.8%
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) FC Carl Zeiss Jena 6 0.530 $3.14 $-0.06 -1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? No 4 0.755 $3.06 $0.30 +11.0%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears NC Dinos 5 0.615 $3.06 $0.42 +16.0%
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? No 4 0.716 $2.86 $0.10 +3.7%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 5 0.585 $2.84 $-0.22 -7.1%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5 0.555 $2.77 $-0.12 -4.3%
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 5 0.575 $2.74 $0.02 +0.9%
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? No 4 0.645 $2.72 $-0.04 -1.5%
Will Solana reach $75 on August 5? No 4 0.600 $2.70 $-0.09 -3.2%