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Trader

0xd96aa9293c34e244734f8b22bbcfde0ae9eed8ce
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
47W / 53L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
47W / 58L
Trades (30d)
105
across 99 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.04
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.96
$97 won / $101 lost
Reward / Risk
1.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,408 · all-time $1,903,455

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 2,129W/2,686L 4600 $11,976
⚽ Sports 42.8% 492W/657L 1149 $2,698
🎬 Culture 54.5% 6W/5L 11 $21
💵 Economy 50.0% 5W/5L 10 $23
🏛 Politics 62.5% 5W/3L 10 $18
₿ Crypto 75.0% 3W/1L 5 $14
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2
🌤 Weather 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.00 +66.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? Yes 5 0.973 $4.48 $1.72 +62.2%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? No 4 0.996 $4.34 $1.90 +77.8%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%? No 4 0.996 $4.29 $1.53 +55.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? Yes 5 0.905 $4.25 $1.57 +58.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? Yes 5 0.925 $4.25 $1.50 +54.2%
Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 2 - 3 Atlético Nacional? Yes 8 0.498 $3.99 $3.90 +4431.8%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? No 6 0.600 $3.52 $0.12 +3.4%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears NC Dinos 5 0.690 $3.44 $0.80 +30.2%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? No 5 0.751 $3.40 $0.64 +23.1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? No 4 0.820 $3.33 $0.89 +36.7%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? No 5 0.670 $3.32 $0.10 +3.1%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 5 0.690 $3.25 $0.65 +24.9%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? No 5 0.670 $3.22 $0.58 +21.8%
Spread: Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) FC Carl Zeiss Jena 6 0.530 $3.14 $-0.06 -1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? No 4 0.755 $3.06 $0.30 +11.0%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5) fnatic 5 0.615 $3.06 $-0.17 -5.4%
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? No 4 0.715 $2.86 $0.10 +3.6%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5 0.555 $2.77 $-0.12 -4.3%
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 5 0.575 $2.74 $0.02 +0.9%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Liquid 4 0.675 $2.74 $-0.02 -0.7%
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season ZYB Esport 5 0.545 $2.71 $-0.52 -16.2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 4 0.625 $2.65 $-0.11 -3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? No 5 0.565 $2.55 $0.11 +4.6%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 12 0.210 $2.52 $1.20 +90.9%