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Trader

0xd926d72c32ed8224b6749d3c134a3e1ae9b46edb
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
5W / 17L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
5W / 17L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
26
across 3 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$0.99
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.04
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,437 · all-time $62,849

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 294W/364L 244 $1,712
₿ Crypto 41.5% 107W/151L 93 $532
🏛 Politics 33.3% 7W/14L 23 $88
🎬 Culture 33.3% 7W/14L 21 $79
⚽ Sports — 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1PM ET Up 10 0.955 $9.55 $5.55 +138.7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 7 0.435 $2.91 $1.91 +190.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 10 0.213 $2.16 $1.15 +113.5%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? Yes 10 0.185 $1.90 $0.75 +65.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 13 0.135 $1.70 $0.69 +68.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 6 0.245 $1.54 $0.54 +53.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 66 0.022 $1.48 $-0.52 -26.2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 8 0.185 $1.44 $0.43 +42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 18 0.075 $1.33 $-1.28 -48.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 8 0.165 $1.27 $0.27 +26.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 6 0.185 $1.17 $0.16 +15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026? Yes 10 0.116 $1.16 $0.26 +28.9%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? Yes 8 0.130 $1.09 $0.08 +8.3%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026? Yes 14 0.063 $0.91 $-0.09 -9.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 1 0.868 $0.87 $0.37 +73.5%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026? Yes 12 0.068 $0.85 $-0.15 -15.0%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026? Yes 10 0.075 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026? Yes 7 0.110 $0.74 $-0.27 -26.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 23 0.020 $0.45 $-0.55 -54.5%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in August 2026? Yes 13 0.018 $0.24 $-0.76 -75.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1PM ET Down 5 0.045 $0.23 $-2.27 -91.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 8 0.024 $0.18 $-0.83 -81.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 18 0.004 $0.08 $-0.99 -92.5%