PnL (30d)

−$932

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$249

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-54.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

20W / 60L · 37 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

46W / 70L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

117

across 23 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$66.59

avg win $50 · loss $131

Profit Factor

0.21

$250 won / $1,182 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.0% 420W/404L	268	$41,531
💵 Economy	91.7% 22W/2L	30	$1,102
₿ Crypto	92.9% 13W/1L	13	$199
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	11	$1,166
🤖 Tech	50.0% 1W/1L	6	$682
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$55
⚽ Sports	—	1	$99

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,021	0.745	$3,738.28	$723.34	+24.0%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	3,149	0.845	$2,661.29	$217.81	+8.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	84,625	0.013	$1,142.44	$-1,339.45	-54.0%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?	Yes	4,441	0.240	$1,065.88	$110.93	+11.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	1,242	0.635	$788.39	$28.39	+3.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	1,905	0.360	$685.76	$-84.23	-10.9%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	1,000	0.585	$584.96	$29.99	+5.4%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3,511	0.155	$544.27	$-53.72	-9.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	576	0.900	$518.37	$15.60	+3.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,529	0.225	$343.93	$61.59	+21.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	576	0.370	$213.09	$-186.90	-46.7%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	200	0.865	$173.07	$13.07	+8.2%
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	Yes	187	0.895	$167.25	$22.25	+15.3%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,562	0.106	$165.61	$35.61	+27.4%
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	147	0.910	$133.95	$33.95	+34.0%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	183	0.725	$132.48	$77.89	+142.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	712	0.165	$117.41	$-172.60	-59.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	125	0.904	$113.26	$23.26	+25.8%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	127	0.855	$108.48	$8.78	+8.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	119	0.735	$87.71	$27.71	+46.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	101	0.830	$83.73	$23.73	+39.5%
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	103	0.815	$83.66	$3.66	+4.6%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	82	0.895	$73.07	$13.07	+21.8%
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	207	0.293	$60.71	$-69.29	-53.3%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	146	0.390	$56.83	$6.83	+13.7%