| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
5,021 |
0.745 |
$3,738.28 |
$723.34 |
+24.0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
3,149 |
0.845 |
$2,661.29 |
$217.81 |
+8.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
81,054 |
0.013 |
$1,094.23 |
$-1,337.71 |
-55.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
4,272 |
0.215 |
$918.41 |
$3.45 |
+0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,242 |
0.625 |
$775.97 |
$15.98 |
+2.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
1,905 |
0.385 |
$733.38 |
$-36.61 |
-4.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.585 |
$584.96 |
$29.99 |
+5.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,511 |
0.165 |
$579.39 |
$-18.60 |
-3.1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
576 |
0.899 |
$518.08 |
$15.31 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,529 |
0.225 |
$343.93 |
$61.59 |
+21.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
576 |
0.375 |
$215.97 |
$-184.02 |
-46.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
187 |
0.895 |
$167.25 |
$22.25 |
+15.3% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,562 |
0.105 |
$164.83 |
$34.83 |
+26.8% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
177 |
0.865 |
$153.19 |
$13.19 |
+9.4% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
No |
183 |
0.740 |
$135.22 |
$80.63 |
+147.7% |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
147 |
0.918 |
$135.13 |
$35.13 |
+35.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
712 |
0.175 |
$124.52 |
$-165.48 |
-57.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.902 |
$113.08 |
$23.08 |
+25.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.850 |
$107.84 |
$8.15 |
+8.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
119 |
0.710 |
$84.73 |
$24.73 |
+41.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
101 |
0.805 |
$81.20 |
$21.21 |
+35.3% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
82 |
0.885 |
$72.26 |
$12.26 |
+20.4% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
207 |
0.293 |
$60.71 |
$-69.29 |
-53.3% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
146 |
0.390 |
$56.83 |
$6.83 |
+13.7% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
66 |
0.805 |
$53.19 |
$3.19 |
+6.4% |