| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
5,021 |
0.745 |
$3,740.79 |
$725.85 |
+24.1% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
3,149 |
0.845 |
$2,661.29 |
$217.81 |
+8.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
81,054 |
0.013 |
$1,094.23 |
$-1,337.71 |
-55.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
4,272 |
0.215 |
$918.41 |
$3.45 |
+0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,242 |
0.625 |
$775.97 |
$15.98 |
+2.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
1,905 |
0.385 |
$733.38 |
$-36.61 |
-4.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.580 |
$579.96 |
$24.99 |
+4.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,511 |
0.165 |
$579.39 |
$-18.60 |
-3.1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
576 |
0.899 |
$518.08 |
$15.31 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,529 |
0.225 |
$343.93 |
$61.59 |
+21.8% |
| Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
310 |
0.996 |
$308.17 |
$88.17 |
+40.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
576 |
0.390 |
$224.61 |
$-175.39 |
-43.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
187 |
0.895 |
$167.25 |
$22.25 |
+15.3% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,562 |
0.102 |
$159.20 |
$29.21 |
+22.5% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
177 |
0.865 |
$153.19 |
$13.19 |
+9.4% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
No |
183 |
0.720 |
$131.56 |
$76.98 |
+141.0% |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
147 |
0.891 |
$131.09 |
$31.09 |
+31.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
712 |
0.165 |
$117.41 |
$-172.60 |
-59.5% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.902 |
$113.08 |
$23.08 |
+25.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.865 |
$109.74 |
$10.05 |
+10.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
119 |
0.705 |
$84.13 |
$24.13 |
+40.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
101 |
0.785 |
$79.19 |
$19.19 |
+32.0% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
82 |
0.885 |
$72.26 |
$12.26 |
+20.4% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
207 |
0.294 |
$60.82 |
$-69.18 |
-53.2% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
146 |
0.380 |
$55.37 |
$5.37 |
+10.7% |