| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,153 |
0.545 |
$628.12 |
$395.03 |
+169.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
558 |
0.825 |
$460.60 |
$194.46 |
+73.1% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
940 |
0.270 |
$253.90 |
$-14.27 |
-5.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
735 |
0.335 |
$246.10 |
$-33.81 |
-12.1% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
462 |
0.520 |
$240.20 |
$-9.68 |
-3.9% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? |
No |
343 |
0.635 |
$217.58 |
$-28.87 |
-11.7% |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
No |
382 |
0.545 |
$208.38 |
$5.74 |
+2.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.635 |
$190.11 |
$-1.51 |
-0.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.938 |
$188.67 |
$11.43 |
+6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,196 |
0.130 |
$155.52 |
$-113.38 |
-42.2% |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? |
No |
387 |
0.305 |
$118.16 |
$-91.04 |
-43.5% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
163 |
0.715 |
$116.59 |
$0.94 |
+0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
287 |
0.377 |
$108.08 |
$-5.95 |
-5.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
132 |
0.810 |
$106.77 |
$36.64 |
+52.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
288 |
0.365 |
$105.10 |
$6.37 |
+6.5% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
1,037 |
0.095 |
$98.54 |
$-129.25 |
-56.7% |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
No |
288 |
0.335 |
$96.61 |
$-15.86 |
-14.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,143 |
0.080 |
$91.41 |
$-68.96 |
-43.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
247 |
0.365 |
$90.13 |
$23.34 |
+34.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? |
Yes |
179 |
0.465 |
$83.26 |
$40.98 |
+96.9% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
391 |
0.202 |
$78.98 |
$-168.71 |
-68.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.42 |
$-7.12 |
-9.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
Yes |
300 |
0.215 |
$64.50 |
$-7.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.989 |
$61.95 |
$1.41 |
+2.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.349 |
$59.35 |
$10.99 |
+22.7% |