| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,153 |
0.555 |
$639.65 |
$406.56 |
+174.4% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
558 |
0.825 |
$460.60 |
$194.46 |
+73.1% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
940 |
0.270 |
$253.90 |
$-14.27 |
-5.3% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
462 |
0.520 |
$240.20 |
$-9.68 |
-3.9% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? |
No |
343 |
0.635 |
$217.58 |
$-28.87 |
-11.7% |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
No |
382 |
0.545 |
$208.38 |
$5.74 |
+2.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.938 |
$188.67 |
$11.43 |
+6.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.625 |
$187.12 |
$-4.50 |
-2.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
277 |
0.655 |
$181.20 |
$46.51 |
+34.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,196 |
0.115 |
$137.58 |
$-131.32 |
-48.8% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
No |
177 |
0.715 |
$126.52 |
$1.02 |
+0.8% |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? |
No |
392 |
0.310 |
$121.65 |
$-90.25 |
-42.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
288 |
0.375 |
$107.98 |
$9.25 |
+9.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
132 |
0.795 |
$104.79 |
$34.66 |
+49.4% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
1,037 |
0.095 |
$98.54 |
$-129.25 |
-56.7% |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
No |
288 |
0.335 |
$96.61 |
$-15.86 |
-14.1% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
247 |
0.365 |
$90.13 |
$23.34 |
+34.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? |
Yes |
179 |
0.465 |
$83.26 |
$40.98 |
+96.9% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
370 |
0.203 |
$74.90 |
$-168.63 |
-69.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,143 |
0.065 |
$74.27 |
$-86.10 |
-53.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.42 |
$-7.12 |
-9.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
Yes |
300 |
0.215 |
$64.50 |
$-7.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.989 |
$61.95 |
$1.41 |
+2.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.358 |
$60.79 |
$12.43 |
+25.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
58 |
0.954 |
$55.49 |
$3.21 |
+6.1% |