| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,153 |
0.545 |
$628.12 |
$395.03 |
+169.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
558 |
0.825 |
$460.60 |
$194.46 |
+73.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
925 |
0.285 |
$263.42 |
$-71.13 |
-21.3% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
509 |
0.500 |
$254.47 |
$-18.45 |
-6.8% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
940 |
0.260 |
$244.49 |
$-23.68 |
-8.8% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? |
No |
343 |
0.635 |
$217.58 |
$-28.87 |
-11.7% |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? |
No |
382 |
0.545 |
$208.38 |
$5.74 |
+2.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.938 |
$188.67 |
$11.43 |
+6.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
299 |
0.601 |
$179.45 |
$-9.04 |
-4.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,196 |
0.140 |
$167.48 |
$-101.42 |
-37.7% |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? |
No |
387 |
0.315 |
$122.03 |
$-87.17 |
-41.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
288 |
0.400 |
$115.18 |
$16.45 |
+16.7% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
1,037 |
0.095 |
$98.54 |
$-129.25 |
-56.7% |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
No |
288 |
0.335 |
$96.61 |
$-15.86 |
-14.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
242 |
0.400 |
$96.58 |
$0.42 |
+0.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.080 |
$95.97 |
$-68.39 |
-41.6% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
247 |
0.365 |
$90.13 |
$23.34 |
+34.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? |
Yes |
179 |
0.460 |
$82.36 |
$40.09 |
+94.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
393 |
0.202 |
$79.32 |
$-168.70 |
-68.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.42 |
$-7.12 |
-9.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,124 |
0.059 |
$66.86 |
$25.35 |
+61.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
Yes |
300 |
0.215 |
$64.50 |
$-7.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.989 |
$61.95 |
$1.41 |
+2.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.346 |
$58.74 |
$10.38 |
+21.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
58 |
0.959 |
$55.78 |
$3.50 |
+6.7% |