Log in
Trader leaderboard/Novus0rdoSeclorum

Novus0rdoSeclorum

0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$137
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$130
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
821W / 216L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
827W / 219L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
1,063
across 483 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.30
avg win $7 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.95
$2,504 won / $2,641 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$275
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $37,059 · all-time $38,342,459

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.3% 10,829W/3,358L 3642 $892,803
🌤 Weather 85.3% 151W/26L 109 $5,454
⚽ Sports 57.4% 70W/52L 96 $6,497
🏛 Politics 76.1% 134W/42L 81 $70,826
💵 Economy 77.0% 137W/41L 48 $66,089
🎬 Culture 77.1% 27W/8L 37 $1,823
🤖 Tech 60.0% 9W/6L 8 $995
🔬 Science 6 $29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 8,534 0.013 $115.21 $-151.48 -56.8%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 9,584 0.005 $52.71 $-246.79 -82.4%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,134 0.003 $25.34 $-291.36 -92.0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,084 0.003 $25.21 $14.38 +132.8%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 15,195 0.002 $22.79 $-452.05 -95.2%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 2,377 0.007 $17.83 $-67.06 -79.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 11 1.000 $11.37 $0.45 +4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 11 0.997 $11.35 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 11 0.988 $11.24 $0.28 +2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 11 0.912 $10.38 $-0.16 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 6? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? No 10 0.979 $9.79 $-0.11 -1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? No 10 0.945 $9.45 $-0.45 -4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 11 0.785 $8.93 $-0.85 -8.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 11 0.760 $8.65 $2.05 +31.0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 16,135 0.001 $8.07 $-496.16 -98.4%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 12,472 0.001 $6.24 $-383.53 -98.4%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 11,826 0.001 $5.91 $-363.64 -98.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? No 10 0.570 $5.70 $0.70 +14.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 11 0.500 $5.69 $-2.05 -26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? No 10 0.535 $5.35 $0.35 +7.0%
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026? Yes 50 0.105 $5.25 $2.75 +110.0%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 15 0.185 $2.77 $2.27 +455.0%
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 76 0.035 $2.69 $0.16 +6.2%