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Trader leaderboard/Novus0rdoSeclorum

Novus0rdoSeclorum

0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$661
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
118W / 40L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
135W / 56L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
193
across 50 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$17.87
avg win $24 · loss $196
Profit Factor
0.52
$712 won / $1,373 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$163
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $36,106 · all-time $38,342,459

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.3% 10,829W/3,358L 3642 $892,803
🌤 Weather 85.3% 151W/26L 109 $5,454
⚽ Sports 57.4% 70W/52L 96 $6,497
🏛 Politics 76.1% 134W/42L 81 $70,826
💵 Economy 77.0% 137W/41L 48 $66,089
🎬 Culture 77.1% 27W/8L 37 $1,823
🤖 Tech 60.0% 9W/6L 8 $995
🔬 Science 6 $29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 8,534 0.013 $115.21 $-151.48 -56.8%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 9,584 0.005 $52.71 $-246.79 -82.4%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,134 0.003 $25.34 $-291.36 -92.0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 10,084 0.003 $25.21 $14.38 +132.8%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 15,195 0.002 $22.79 $-452.05 -95.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 11 0.996 $11.33 $-0.03 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 11 0.986 $11.22 $0.26 +2.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 11 0.950 $10.81 $-0.11 -1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 11 0.926 $10.54 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 6? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? No 10 0.985 $9.85 $-0.05 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? No 10 0.954 $9.54 $-0.36 -3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 11 0.815 $9.27 $-0.51 -5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 11 0.730 $8.31 $1.71 +25.9%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 16,135 0.001 $8.07 $-496.16 -98.4%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 2,377 0.003 $7.13 $-77.75 -91.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 11 0.565 $6.43 $-1.31 -16.9%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 12,472 0.001 $6.24 $-383.53 -98.4%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 11,826 0.001 $5.91 $-363.64 -98.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? No 10 0.550 $5.50 $0.50 +10.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? No 10 0.525 $5.25 $0.25 +5.0%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 15 0.250 $3.75 $3.25 +650.0%
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 76 0.046 $3.53 $1.00 +39.5%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 613 0.004 $2.15 $2.14 +38786.4%